And The Winner Is....

Watching the polls these days is interesting. As someone with a doctorate, I am suspicious of most polls. Polls can be weighted, dishonest and yes, people lie. So I will just highlight something from Stanford Predicts from Nov, 2, 2004:

November 02, 2004

Until next time...

The last days have shown a clear and unexpected trend favoring Kerry in the presidential race. Polls in key states, particularly Florida, have led us to update our probabilities of who wins these states, and as a result the "roll-up" of all these probabilities at the Electoral College level, as reported on our main page, led to final odds favoring Kerry.

Surely, this "final answer" is but a probabilistic one, and should not be interpreted as us calling the winner.